GST 2.0 by Diwali? Understanding PM Modi’s Tax Reform Promise
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Blogs / News & Views / GST 2.0 by Diwali? Understanding PM Modi’s Tax Reform Promise
By Sushil Finance
19 August 2025 • 7 MINUTES READ
GST 2.0 by Diwali

GST 2.0 by Diwali? Understanding PM Modi’s Tax Reform Promise

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On Independence Day, August 15, 2025, Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced a major push towards next-generation GST reforms, positioning it as a Diwali gift for the common man. The announcement has created buzz across industries, markets, and households, but it’s important to note that these changes are still at the proposal stage—they have not been implemented yet. Whether and how they will be rolled out depends on further discussions and approvals.


What Was Announced

In his Red Fort address, PM Modi declared that the government intends to simplify the current five-tier GST structure and reduce the tax burden on everyday essentials. The proposal for GST rationalisation has already been circulated to state governments, and the GST Council will be key in finalising the reforms.

According to reports, the suggested structure could look like this:


5% slab for essentials and daily-use goods
18% slab for most standard goods and services
A possible higher third slab for certain categories

However, these details are based on draft proposals and media reports, and no final decision has been made yet.


What Still Needs to Happen

GST Council deliberations: The Council, which includes representatives from all states, will debate and decide the structure.
State cooperation: As GST is a shared tax, the cooperation of states is crucial for the rollout.
Notification of rules: Only after Council approval and government notification will the new slabs come into effect.

Until then, the announcement remains an ambitious plan rather than an enforceable reality.


Possible Economic Impacts

1. Boost to Consumption

Lower taxes on essentials and discretionary goods could increase disposable income, encouraging people to spend more. According to SBI Research, this may add nearly ₹1.98 lakh crore to consumption.


2. Inflation Relief

By reducing taxes on essentials, the reforms could ease inflationary pressures by 50–60 basis points, making everyday living slightly more affordable.


3. Revenue Trade-Offs

The government may face possible annual revenue loss of thousands of crores, but this could be partly offset by cess collections on sin goods and higher compliance due to simplification.


4. Sectoral Benefits

If the proposed slabs are implemented, potential beneficiaries include:

Automobiles & two-wheelers: Maruti, Tata Motors, Hero MotoCorp
Cement & construction: Ultratech, ACC
FMCG companies: HUL, Nestlé, Britannia
White goods & electronics: Voltas, LG, Samsung, Whirlpool
Insurance sector: Lower GST on premiums could benefit insurers like LIC, HDFC Life, ICICI Prudential

5. Market Reaction

Equity markets have already shown optimism, with consumer-facing stocks witnessing gains. However, bond markets remain cautious about fiscal sustainability.


Why Now?

The timing of this reform is significant. By aiming for an implementation before Diwali 2025, the government is targeting India’s biggest consumption season. This festive push is expected to:

Reduce the household tax burden.
Boost demand in sectors like autos, FMCG, and consumer durables.
Support MSMEs by easing compliance.

At the same time, the government has to balance growth ambitions with fiscal prudence.


A Reform at the Crossroads

While the announcement is bold and potentially transformative, it remains just that—an announcement. The real test lies in negotiation, approval, and execution. The GST Council’s upcoming sessions will determine whether this vision of a simpler, lighter GST becomes a reality or stays a promise.

For now, households and businesses can stay hopeful: if implemented, GST 2.0 could indeed be a Diwali bonanza, bringing relief to wallets and fueling India’s growth story.




Disclaimer:
The content provided in this blog is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, or tax advice. While Sushil Finance makes reasonable efforts to ensure accuracy and reliability of the information, we do not guarantee its completeness or timeliness. Readers are advised to consult with their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Sushil Finance shall not be held responsible for any direct or indirect loss arising from use of this content. Investments in securities are subject to market risks. Read all scheme-related documents carefully before investing.


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